17 October, 2023
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Diccon Lloyd-Smeath's Champions League Insider
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Advanced Stats Machines: Looking at every team in the Round of 16 by the numbers

MIES (Switzerland) - The Round of 16 is upon us already as another season of the Basketball Champions League is nearing the business end of the season.

Now we re-set the filters and the quality of teams surviving only gets stronger from here on, but a deep look at the efficiency ratings of the 16 teams so far in the competition could tell us what it might look like against their new peers in each group

In the chart above you can toggle between groups I to L or scan over the final tab to see how all 16 stack up against each other.  Defensive Rating (reversed) is on the Y axis and Offensive Rating on the X axis. If you hover your mouse over a team logo you will see both and also Net Rating with the team's True Shooting below it.

Group I

We have to start Group I with Unicaja. Last season's Final Four hosts have gone from strength to strength and have the best Net Rating in this group, at +10.6 points per 100 possessions better than their opponents to date,

Inexplicably they have the second-lowest True-Shooting Percentage of all the 16 teams left, at 54.2 percent. However, in a league like the BCL, two games could change that number drastically.

Elsewhere in the group, BCL stalwarts SIG Strasbourg have a Net Rating of +9.3 points per 100 possessions and, with their experience, they must surely like their chances of advancing. Tofas Bursa and Cholet may have come through tough Play-In series, against PAOK mateco and Banco di Sardegna Sassari respectively, but may also feel extra battle-tested as a result.

Keep an eye on that Tofas Bursa offense - especially now with Marcus Denmon in the picture. They score at a rate of 117.5 points per 100 possessions, making them the most efficient offense in the BCL.

Group J

JDA Bourgogne Dijon lead Group J for Net Rating at +16.9, ranking them third of 16. They also rank fourth on the offensive end, scoring at a rate of 116 points per 100 possessions.

Galatasaray EKMAS look a totally different beast with David McCormack and Klemen Prepelic joining mid-season. We probably need to start paying attention to what their efficiency numbers look like from here.

MHP Riesen Ludwigsburg also joined them in qualifying from a Play-In series. It doesn't look like it's going to get any easier for The Giants in this group, especially not with the reigning champions and domestic rivals Telekom Baskets Bonn also joining the fight.

Coach Roel Moors' roster is still finding its identity but that Defensive Rating, keeping teams to 99.45 points per 100 possessions, is a great place to start - only four of our 16 teams have been meaner on defense to date.

Group K

First look at this group would have Hapoel Bank Yahav Jerusalem as the clear favorites. Last year's runners-up have the best defense in the BCL at just 95 points per 100 conceded and also the best Net Rating of the 16 remaining at an absurd +20.8 per 100.

They have just gone through a coaching change and a roster addition, so it will possibly be about how quickly newly-arrived coach Ilias Kantzouris can adapt the team to his philosophy.

Rule number one in the BCL is that you never forget about Lenovo Tenerife. As long as coach Txus Vidorreta and GM Aniano Cabrera have been together, Tenerife have started the season as favorites to win the whole thing and this season is no different.

They still have Marcelinho Huertas, Giorgi Shermadini, Sasu Salin and the gang, and they also have the third-best Offensive Rating in the Round of 16, at 116.4.  Mainly thanks to (as usual) being the most efficient shooters in the BCL with a True Shooting Percentage (TS%) of 62.1 percent.

Pinar Karsiyaka and Peristeri bwin almost sit on top of each other in the chart and look well-matched. Ufuk Sarica at Karsiyaka may have the most talented team in the whole competition and you can see that from how well they have shot the ball with a TS% of 61 percent.

Group L

Our final group looks to have a chart with the clearest structure of them all when it comes to efficiency ratings.

UCAM Murcia are one of the stories of the season in Europe and unsurprisingly lead the chart with the second-best Net Rating in the BCL, at +20.3. They also rank second for Offensive Rating and Defensive Rating at 116.5 and 96.2, respectively. 

Next in order of Net Rating we have AEK BETSSON (+15.8), then Promitheas Patras (+10.9) and finally Hapoel Holon (+0.7).

On Paper, you would have to look at Murcia and AEK as the most likely to make it out of this group and reach the Quarter-Finals. But basketball isn't played on paper and we all know the BCL loves to be anything but predictable. 

Diccon Lloyd-Smeath

Diccon Lloyd-Smeath

Diccon is a basketball coach and analyst living in Madrid. Constantly digging in the crates of box scores and clicking through hours of game footage. Diccon is on the hunt for the stories within the stories. If you like to get a closer look at what’s going in the Basketball Champions League, you have found it.